Through his age-24 season he has two Gold Gloves, two All-Star appearances, three consecutive years receiving MVP votes, and coming off back to back 20/20 seasons . If you have a CSV or TXT file, this is the option you want. Instead, Conforto’s issue might have been with the shift. In State of Play, twelve-year Major League veteran, Emmy Award–winning MLB Network analyst, and bestselling author Bill Ripken breaks down these modern statistical methods to explain which ones make sense in the game’s historical ... Player NotesFreeman took a step backward from his MVP-winning 2020 campaign, but given that he posted a .456 wOBA and 186 wRC+ that year, it’s kind of hard to imagine how he could’ve done better. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. In other words, if a player had a 90 OPS+ last season, that means their OPS was 10% below league average. Canha never got into a single game for the Marlins, and the A’s, knowing that finding guys like him is the key to their strategy of never spending a lot of money, acquired him for minor leaguer Austin House, by way of the Colorado Rockies. You can flag a comment by clicking its flag icon. – EL. WAR is really just an idea of how to value players. Player NotesAs good as Kenley Jansen’s bounce-back 2021 campaign was, Iglesias’ was even better, and he’s two years younger to boot. All dollar amounts are estimated guarantees. Lindbergh and Sawchik's behind-the-scenes reporting reveals: How the 2017 Astros and 2018 Red Sox used cutting-edge technology to win the World Series How undersized afterthoughts José Altuve and Mookie Betts became big sluggers and MVPs ... You likely know what they are, though: a metal interpretation of Kris Bryant. Without a clear idea of the economic playing field going forward, who could blame either teams or players for wanting to wait for more certainty? If I’m signing Rodón, I want several bites at the apple, which is why I’m projecting a medium-AAV, four-year deal. Found inside – Page 58Setting each player's stats within the context of the time that he played, Randolph was the slightly better on-base guy ... Featured defensive metrics reported on FanGraphs made a switch from “Total Zone Rating” (TZ) to “Ultimate Zone ... Depending if you are on ‘dashboard’, or ‘standard’, or ‘advanced’ etc, there are different stats to choose. This book was written for several types of readers. Many baseball fans should be interested in the topics of the chapters, especially those who are interested in learning more about the quantitative side of baseball. 4. You’ll notice that I have him pegged for a lower AAV (and in most cases fewer years) than the free agents around him on the list. In this deeply entertaining book, philosopher and baseball fan Alva Noë explores the many unexpected ways in which baseball is truly a philosophical kind of game. They’ve both been replaced on the list. He doesn’t have the twitch you normally expect at short, but his reactions and first step are phenomenal, and having one of the best infield arms in the game allows him to make plenty of plays that others can’t. All the strikeouts, none of the walks? So the basic leaderboard starts being sorted by WAR, but if you sort it by WAR or anything else, the column will turn gray. It might not be the longest deal on the list — or he might be hurt — but Scherzer is the kind of premium free agent every contender could use. 2B. This will return one row per player per season, and provide all metrics made available by FanGraphs. (null) Avg Exit Velocity: 88.6, Hard Hit %: 38, wOBA: .309, xwOBA: .318, Barrel %: 7.7. Ben’s TakeStory would have placed higher on the list before this year. This means that 2013 MLB has 1000 WAR in the entire major leagues. A list of player ids. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted Player NotesMarcus Stroman might not be a Cy Young candidate or a pitcher who sits at the top of a rotation, but he’s good in nearly every way, and he achieved what proved to be an exceptionally rare feat in 2021: he took the bump every five days without missing a start. I’m coming up with too many plate appearances; I can’t even describe my problems here. Below that, we have a panel that allows you to select from any number of statistical groupings. It’s reasonable to expect him to continue to be an impact player for the next couple of years, and then merely a productive big leaguer for the life of his next contract considering that athletes like Marte, who is built as if the engineers at Ferrari designed a human person, tend to age well. But there’s still a lot to like so long as a team’s expectations are in line with his present abilities. . Villar will likely earn a short-term contract, with the expectation being that he’s a depth addition for 2022, albeit a good one. He’s also still only 28, so there are probably plenty of good years left in his bat, and if you’re an optimist, you can see the potential for more walks in his improving plate discipline. If you do, you see three seasons with above-average offense, solid defense, and more than 3 WAR apiece. Player NotesOf Castellanos’ two years in the Queen City, the first was a blah 2020 where he barely squeaked out above league-average production. Center 79 (36%) Take another step down and you can choose to split seasons, which would allow you to look for seasons from 2010-2014, for example, with each player’s season available individually. The downside, though, is that he’s only topped 150 innings once in his career, and a long-term deal may be a risky proposition given the injury history as well as the fatigue and diminished velocity he showed down the stretch. Correa and Corey Seager headline a dynamic group of shortstops that should find big-ticket suitors. So if you want to see a guy with more than 8 BB% AND 10 K%, use AND. Now 34, Gomes has settled in as a fringe-average bat with good defense behind the plate and a great clubhouse presence to boot. Then save it. (If Kershaw leaves L.A., that will muddy up the waters even more.) Perhaps relatedly, he’s not doubling very often anymore; he hit 29 in 2020 and ‘21 combined after averaging 34 in his five previous seasons. The second is pitching_stats_range(start_dt, end_dt). If he leaves, his next contract could resemble Justin Verlander on the Astros — or Zack Greinke on the Astros. The rest of the year, he looked like vintage Adam Dunn; walks, strikeouts, and homers galore, with little else going on. Bryant couldn’t quite sustain that elite level of production. We don’t have a select a date feature on the leaderboards at this time. http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=y&type=c,6,5,7,9,10,11,14,17,21,22&season=2015&month=0&season1=2015&ind=0&team=&rost=&age=&filter=&players=. Ben’s Take“Dead arm” is a scary term. You can find OPS+ on Baseball-Reference. Their story in The Only Rule is it Has to Work is unlike any other baseball tale you've ever read. With the Rays, he ditched the curve and throttled back on his four-seamer, instead embracing the slider, which he threw half the time, and a cutter that he hadn’t used regularly since his last days as a starter. That’s where Jansen sits, and he’s an intriguing case where adding to his arsenal might offset aging, at least for a little bit. No two ways about it: Castellanos can rake. Teams may not get a guaranteed Cy Young contender, but they also won’t pay those marquee prices. Still, the upside here no longer feels very high. Pitchers. Members. It’s fair to wonder how sustainable that is, but it worked quite well this year, and that’s two years in a row at this point. Whether he can stay on this Martinez-like path depends on a few factors. The upside is still here, and if you offer him a multi-year deal with an AAV in the $20 million range, he’d likely take it. – JJ. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. He’s a super utility player — Escobar appeared at first, second base, and third base, as well as shortstop (albeit for just two innings) this year, and managed to slash .253/.314/.472 in 599 plate appearances split between the Diamondbacks and Brewers. After all, it’s not like he’s heading for a blockbuster deal. Take one more step down and you can set the ages you want to show up in the results, meaning that if you only want to see 30 year old players, you could set the minimum and maximum ages to 30. All you have to do is create a report with the stats you want, don’t add any players. To the far left, you’ll find “Show Filter,” which will allow you to specify statistical values that you want to see. The rebound was clouded somewhat by recurring injury issues, including left shoulder fatigue that kept Rodón to just 28 innings from August 1 through the end of the regular season. I had his market pegged higher before that decision, and I’m not sure what to make of it — I’m still projecting him to make more than the qualifying offer, but there are some wide error bars around my projection, to put it mildly. The edge of the cliff looms even as Melancon keeps his foot on the gas. Neil, is there a way to make a graph vs. time of a player’s SwStr% without having to export data into Excel? Getting that kind of production for the next few years and then a capable middle infielder as he ages (he’s 31 right now) should interest everyone, but particularly teams that think their competitive window has an expiration date. You might not know this to be the case; maybe you think you’re set in the middle infield, or don’t think his numbers are sustainable, or think his plate discipline will catch up to him soon. that would indicate his hamstring or the fallout from COVID altered him physically, as all those metrics were in line with prior norms. That was good for a 107 wRC+. As a free agent, however, he offers some worrisome signs. by Handedness, Plate Discipline (O-Swing%, Z-Swing%, etc. On the far right, above where it says “WAR,” there is a little tab that says “Export.” This is going to be an extremely useful tool if you like to play around with stats and do all sorts of crazy filtering, graphing, or combining. Below that is where things start to get interesting. Aside from a health scare that caused him to miss the 2020 season, he’s rarely missed a turn, making 31 starts this season and 34 in 2019. Though his true talent power (Marte hits the ball on the ground an awful lot, 54% of the time in 2021) is closer to the .420 SLG range, that’s still well above the league average in center field, a position that produced a .243/.314/.405 line across baseball last season. Baseball is a game filled with numbers -- most of which tell us what has already happened. There’s no other season-long data point (such as Conforto’s Sprint Speed, high-end exit velos as a proxy for strength, etc.) It was the decimals that got me!! Ben’s TakeYou should want your team to sign Javier Báez. The former top prospect had seen injuries derail his career, and he signed a prove-it deal in his last year before free agency. Choose "Text File" and then navigate to your CSV file. Welcome to perhaps the most uncertain edition of FanGraphs' annual top-50 free-agent rankings. The properties with format "KEY_XYZ" are the player IDs from a variety of websites. He’ll give front offices a lot to chew on, as there’s a drive into deep left field, and that’ll be a home run. If you want a 3-4 WAR pitcher with durability, Stroman is your man. 3B. Those rates compare favorably to a top ten prospect who has been unsullied by major league time. But if he can get on base at a .350 clip, hit 20 homers, and not be an embarrassment in center, he has a varied enough skillset to make his next team happy for the next few years. Total 129 We also saw that in 2015, his first full season in the big leagues, and in ‘19, which was almost a mirror image of this season other than the home runs, which were mostly driven by playing in Great American Ball Park. A replacement player performs at "replacement level," which is the level of performance an average team can . Center 42 (33%) Updated: Saturday, November 20, 2021 5:06 AM ET, Park Factors There are far too many stats to name in one post, but if you click through the tabs you’ll be able to see what we offer. Can’t I create a report that just displays the ones I want to see every day? Or delete the comparison by sending me this message His 4.9 WAR was third among all AL pitchers, behind only Nathan Eovaldi (5.6) and Gerrit Cole (5.3), even though he threw roughly 50 fewer innings than either. N/A indicates stat was not tracked at all during the time frame, * indicates stat was not tracked consistently throughout the entire time frame. The ones that I'm using are KEY_MLBAM and KEY_LAHMAN but I've included Fangraphs, BBRef, and Retrosheet for the fantasy baseball enthusiasts. Reply. Check. Website admin will know that you reported it. In addition to updated glossary entries and blog posts extolling the virtues of various sabermetric statistics and principles, the revitalized FanGraphs Library is also going to be a place where we highlight features available at the site that will allow you to get the most out of our data. – JT, Player NotesMcCutchen remains a decent hitter, but his defense took quite a nosedive this year. Play smart. Play to win. Play like a champion. – KG. The second was a very good J.D. It was only a fourth pitch, but it served to make everything play up: not only did the splitter miss a ton of bats, but his sinker, cutter, and slider all missed more than they had in previous years. – DS. He won a pair of Cy Young awards, finished in the top three four times and was ninth during his one “off” season. It just makes sense: he likes it there, and the Braves have the resources and desire to re-up. As you’d expect, then, Rodón dominated in the rate stats, leading the AL in ERA, FIP, and strikeout rate just to name a few. I tweeted to Jeff Sullivan the other day about these exact issues, and he was kind enough to give me some clues. Normally, I just average several projections and use them for my fantasy values with great success. How can salary information be included in a customized report? The industry's longest-running publication for baseball analysts and fantasy leaguers, Ron Shandler's Baseball Forecaster, published annually since 1986, is the first book to approach prognostication by breaking performance down into its ... His mid-career turnaround will always be a great example of why you should take every opportunity to let a talented player redefine himself in a positive fashion. Ben’s TakeFor two weeks this year, Schwarber was the best hitter on Earth. Search player seasons and team games since 1917-18, player games and goals since 1979-80, advanced stats, draft info and more. From 2016-20, Cobb struck out 16.3% of the batters he faced; his 24.9% in 2021 represented a 50% improvement. He probably won’t match the 3.9 WAR he produced while with the Orioles in 2019 again, but Villar can be a useful utility player for a contender (his initial role with the Mets) or a starter for a rebuilding team, with the ability to add additional value on the bases, though even that may be a question mark for him going forward — his sprint speed ranked in the 73rd percentile in 2019, when he stole 40 bases, but fell to just the 58th percentile in ‘21. That, as well as his dominant postseason performance (7 IP, 14 K, 1 BB) will likely give prospective suitors confidence that Jansen can continue to perform at a level befitting a late-inning reliever for at least another couple of years. Moving the competitive balance tax threshold, instituting a universal designated hitter, imposing a new individual or team-wide salary minimum, changing service time rules, abolishing the qualifying offer: all of these things are on the table, and all might change an individual team’s priorities. That’s a worrisome trend, but underneath the hood, things still mostly look rosy. We’ve made a note of which players received a Qualifying Offer, which is worth $18.4 million this year. Player B: 14.8 K-BB%, 4.07 SIERA, 28.0 CSW, 51.6 GB%. Additionally, if you have a particular leaderboard you find interesting or useful, the URL is unique for everything, so you can copy and paste it to share with everyone. In past years, luminaries like Dave Cameron, Kiley McDaniel, and Craig Edwards have helmed this exercise. Baseball-Savant has it for a few things, but that’s about it. He’s likely headed for first base permanently; he’s not getting any faster, and he was already a dicey left fielder at best. Instead, he ended up being one of Tampa Bay’s most effective, reliable and durable relievers, posting a 1.55 ERA and career-low walk and home-run rates. So you could get Roy Halladay’s 2010 and 2011 seasons in the same leaderboard. Given that he’s already 32, teams probably won’t bowl Canha over with a lengthy offer. He wasn’t a great defender — that’s been the story for the majority of his career — but Villar added versatility and still ended up producing 2.1 WAR overall. The Phillies and Twins could use a player like that. I’ll generally make note of that in the accompanying comment, but just to reiterate, the list isn’t exclusively ordered by descending average annual value, or total dollars, or anything of that sort. He has a cogent two-strike approach in which his leg kick gets toned down, and he’s great at recognizing and crushing breaking balls. Instead of telling us what has happened in . It’s hard to imagine a better situation than staying where you live, joining the reigning World Series champion, and getting more than $100 million to do it. He’ll likely begin free agency as the primary backup plan for teams that start by aiming for some of the bigger outfielders names. How likely that monster is to appear is an open question — in fact, the White Sox chose not to extend Rodón a Qualifying Offer, which presumably means they aren’t trying to retain him and worry he might accept it. A Bit of Java Code. That’s because I just think he’ll be that much of a bargain. For instance, I want to show AVG, OPS, and SB for all White sox vs Lefties, I have to create a report for white sox vs lefties and enter the stats i want for that report. There’s no way of knowing how much this iteration of collective bargaining will change the economic landscape of the league, but don’t underestimate how much it will matter. Player NotesThanks to a more favorable ballpark configuration and a new coaching staff bringing a philosophy that clicked with so many of the Giants’ veterans, Belt has hit for more power over the past two seasons — .285/.393/.595 (163 wRC+) with 37 homers in 560 PA — than ever before. – DF. Then, you open it and you just adjust the team or whatever. Dazzling defensive plays, genius-level baseball IQ, wild swings at shoelace-high pitches that nonetheless produce home runs; Báez does it all, and he does it with an infectious grin. It’s hardly a shortstop-only market. has been slowly declining since that aforementioned two-year peak. Each column is sortable, you can change the number of results you get per page, and you can jump around to the various pages of results. March 9, 2020. Of the 244 Hall of Famers, 83 fall in this range. The story of black professional baseball provides a remarkable perspective on several major themes in modern African American history: the initial black response to segregation, the subsequent struggle to establish successful separate ... But shoulder issues cost him half the season and he was only able to deliver 80 innings of work. While Coors Field is responsible for at least some of Story’s offensive performance (his career xSLG is .468, while his actual is .523), this is still a shortstop with rare power for the position, though Story’s power output in literally every facet (SLG, HR, ISO, average exit velo, max exit velo, etc.) In the epilogue for this Bison Books edition, Lee Lowenfish guides the reader through the turbulent 1990s and first decade of the twenty-first century, covering expansion teams, the monumental 1994 strike, and performance-enhancing drugs. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. The gap right now is just 0.1 WAR, which is the same as it was two years ago. Yes, but you have to choose the stats you want EVERY time you create a report. WIP for downloading seasonal splits from Fangraphs. Now that you’ve re-evaluated him based on me saying that, re-evaluate him higher again. Player NotesIt’s a deep free agent class, but it’s defined by the outstanding group of shortstops at the top, led by a pair of excessively young, impact-level players: Carlos Correa and Corey Seager. If he breaks out then you only have that one year, and if he simply breaks then you’re down a good chunk of salary. Loup almost always feels like he’s just on the very edge of a major league roster but now stands at a 3.05 career ERA and 3.35 FIP after a decade in the big leagues. Therefore, a 1.0 WAR value for a player signifies a contribution of roughly 10 more runs than a replacement-level player, over a specified period of time. It might sound strange that a pitcher with a below-average strikeout rate is a hot commodity in this era of missing bats and taking names, but Stroman does everything else so well that it hardly matters. An elbow injury dogged his 2019 and kept him out for the start of the ‘20 season, and he ultimately chose to opt out of the pandemic-shortened campaign. His 2016 was ruined by surgery on his left hip, and in ’17, he slumped his way to a stint in the minors and required offseason wrist surgery. This assumes health, because on the outside looking in, that’s the best I can do. Pitching-needy teams like the Red Sox, Mets, and Cardinals might be the most interested, but any team on the playoff fringes would benefit from the sure rotation improvement Stroman provides. In all fairness, some of the following projections need to be blown up. That and the sheer joy he plays the game with? Looking to bounce back from a 2019-20 run that saw him throw just 36.2 innings combined, Kluber had his moments in 2021, including a May no-hitter against the Rangers, and was generally an above-average pitcher. The long layoff (and likely high price tag) will scare away plenty of would-be suitors, and Verlander’s market will be further complicated by the presence of Max Scherzer, the other future Hall of Famer and free agent whose elbow ligaments are very much intact, thanks for asking. 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010. While García has tightened up his strike zone a bit over the last few seasons, he remains a streaky, overly-aggressive hitter who is prone to chasing and can get beat by good breaking balls pretty consistently. Plenty of contracts in the bottom half of this list could end up with team options tacked on, but those aren’t included in these estimates. He was never considered a significant prospect, just another guy who could draw walks, hit the odd home run, and lacked an obvious defensive position. Looking at the spread among the top five players, the standard deviation is half of the average, although it was lower as recently as 2008. by Allison McCague. On paper, his time with the Padres was a success: a major league-high 39 saves, a .270 wOBA, a jump of almost 10 points in strikeout rate from 2020, excellent numbers in high-leverage spots, tons and tons of groundballs, and even a slight spike in velocity. Stats relying on play-by-play data are complete back to 1973, mostly complete back to 1950, and somewhat complete back to 1916. Major league regulars on cheap deals are still worth something. So what's on the horizon for a game that is constantly evolving? Positioned at the crossroads of sabermetrics and cognitive science, The Shift alters the trajectory of both traditional and analytics-based baseball thought. – DF. You can’t always check every box, which is why teams will back up a truck full of money for Rodriguez despite his 4.74 ERA in 2021.
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